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Morning Market Report – 14 Aug 2025

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Global Cues:
Wall Street extended gains for the second straight day — S&P 500 (+0.32%) and Nasdaq (+0.14%) hit new closing highs. Sentiment was supported after steady US CPI data and US Treasury Secretary Bessent’s call for a 50 bps Fed rate cut in September. Bond yields eased (US 10Y -6 bps to 4.23%), Brent crude softened to $66, and the Dollar Index slipped to 97.7.

Geo-Political Watch:
A Trump–Putin meeting in Alaska tomorrow could be a key turning point for Russia–Ukraine ceasefire talks, with markets watching for any breakthrough.

Domestic Setup:

  • Event-heavy day: Weekly Nifty expiry, India WPI data, US PPI & weekly jobless claims.

  • Corporate Watch:

    • Q1FY26 Earnings: Amara Raja, IOCL, Ashok Leyland, Glenmark Pharma, HOEC, Borosil, National Fertilizer, Vodafone Idea.

    • AGMs: Aegis Logistics, Manappuram Finance, Amara Raja, Deepak Nitrite, AB Capital, Ashok Leyland.

    • Lock-in end: Jana SFB (20%).

Stocks in Focus:

Neutral:

  1. ICICI Bank – Reverses steep minimum average balance hike (urban now ₹15k vs ₹50k earlier).

  2. ABFRL – Q1 mixed; revenue up 9.4% YoY, but higher depreciation led to a ₹212 cr loss.

  3. United Spirits – Strong volume growth (+9.4% YoY) but EBITDA margin down 450 bps.

Negative:
4. Deepak Nitrite – Weak Q1, EBITDA margin fell to 10%, profit down 44.6% QoQ.

Positive:
5. BPCL – Q1 profit up 90.5% QoQ; subsidy transmission remains a trigger.
6. Muthoot Finance – PAT up 89.7% YoY, strong AUM growth (+42% YoY).
7. Jubilant FoodWorks – India biz drove 17% QoQ revenue growth; profit up 59.9% QoQ.
8. Brigade Enterprises – Profit up 79% YoY, strong real estate & leasing.
9. M&M, Bajaj Auto, Atul Auto – Govt boosts incentives for e-3-wheelers.
10. Tata Power, Adani Green – India reaches 100 GW solar PV manufacturing milestone.

Market Outlook:

GIFT Nifty trades flat at 24,692, indicating a steady start, but expiry volatility is expected later in the session. Positive cues from US markets and falling yields support sentiment, while WPI and US data could guide intraday direction.

Key Watchpoints Today:

  • Nifty expiry positioning & short covering potential.

  • WPI print for inflation trajectory signals.

  • Reaction to Q1 earnings, especially from BPCL, Muthoot Finance, and Jubilant FoodWorks.

  • Any fresh updates ahead of the Trump–Putin meeting.