📉 FIIs Activity – Selling Pressure Continues
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) sold ₹3,500+ Cr in the cash market, showing persistent outflows.
In the derivatives segment, FIIs have reduced some net index shorts, but their positioning is still tilted towards the short side.
This indicates FIIs don’t see strong near-term upside and expect market to remain range-bound.
🌍 Global & Geopolitical Sentiment
Global cues are neutral to slightly positive – no fresh triggers from US, Europe, or Asia.
Crude oil and dollar movement remain stable, which is supportive for emerging markets like India.
Importantly, geopolitical tensions are calm for now, reducing immediate external risks.
🚗 Auto Sector – Early Signs of GST 2.0 Impact
Auto companies have released monthly sales & booking numbers, and the trend looks very encouraging.
Passenger vehicles and two-wheelers both saw strong demand momentum.
Market is reading this as the first visible boost from GST 2.0, suggesting consumer demand recovery is picking pace.
📰 Earnings Season – Market in Wait & Watch Mode
Despite positive sectoral cues, investors prefer to wait for Q2 earnings before taking aggressive bets.
Key focus will be on:
Management commentary around demand, margins, and GST 2.0 impact.
Banks, Autos, and IT – these sectors will set the tone for earnings.
Till clarity emerges, market will likely trade sideways.
📊 Our Market View – Range-Bound with Breakout Potential
Nifty expected to remain in 25,000–25,500 range for the coming week.
Post corporate earnings, a large directional move (up or down) is likely.
Traders should avoid aggressive bets, focus on short-term trades with tight stop-losses, and wait for earnings-led confirmation before building positions.
