GMBREW-EQ

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GM Breweries Ltd (GMBREW) is a leading Maharashtra-based manufacturer of country liquor (CL) and Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL), holding a monopoly in key districts like Mumbai, Thane, and Palghar. Recent financials show robust quarterly growth in FY26, driven by margin expansion and volume gains, positioning it as a strong player in the regional alcohol market.

Updated Financials

  • Market Cap: ₹2,388 Cr; Current Price: ₹1,045; P/E: 14.7x; Book Value: ₹431; Dividend Yield: 0.72%; ROCE: 18.1%; ROE: 14.6%.

  • FY25 Revenue: ₹637 Cr (up from ₹615 Cr in FY24); Net Profit: ₹129 Cr (EPS ₹56.48); OPM: 18%; TTM Revenue: ₹715 Cr; TTM Profit: ₹163 Cr (EPS ₹71.44).

  • Q3 FY26: Revenue ₹202 Cr (+22% YoY); Net Profit ₹42 Cr (+91% YoY); EBITDA Margin 26% (up from 17.7%); 9M FY26 Net Profit ₹103 Cr (+50% YoY).

  • Almost debt-free; Cash Conversion Cycle: 21 days; Promoter Holding: 74.4%; Operating Cash Flow FY25: ₹162 Cr.

Growth Drivers

  • Strong regional dominance as largest country liquor producer in Maharashtra with sizable market share.

  • Capacity utilization ~55-56%, enabling operating leverage; plans for deeper distribution in interior Maharashtra.

  • Recent momentum: 4 straight quarters of growth; Q3 FY26 revenue +25% gross, margins expanding via efficiency and pricing.

  • Healthy cash flows and ROCE averaging 19% over 5 years; compounded profit growth 13% over 3-5 years.

Product Mix

  • Primarily Country Liquor (CL): G.M. Santra (No.1 in Maharashtra for 12 years, premium molasses-based); G.M. Doctor (25-year market leader, sugarcane juice spirit).

  • Flavoured variants: Orange-flavoured blends; Lemon-lime punch with spices/herbs (0.4-micron filtered).

  • IMFL: Brandy (Pioneer Doctor, Special Doctor), Rum (Hot Shot), Whisky (Reporter Choice).

Investment Rationale

  • Attractive valuation (P/E 14.7x vs. peers ~36x median); undervalued per intrinsic models with strong fundamentals.

  • Margin durability from operational leverage and market moat; low dividend payout (11%) supports reinvestment.

  • GMBREW RR