πŸŒ… Morning Market Report – 2nd Sept 2025

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πŸ“° Global & Domestic Setup

  • Wall Street: U.S. markets were shut overnight on account of Labour Day holiday, keeping global cues muted.

  • Gift Nifty: Indicates a flat start for Indian equities.

  • Trump Factor: Former U.S. President Trump called India ties β€œa totally one-sided disaster”. While he said India has offered to cut tariffs to zero, the late timing of the talks adds a layer of uncertainty.

πŸ“Š Market Recap & Technicals

  • Indian indices closed at the day’s high yesterday, signaling positive sentiment ahead of expiry.

  • Nifty is hovering just below its 20 DMA at 24,695. Sustaining above this level with strong volumes will be critical for a follow-through rally.

πŸ’° Flows & F&O Cues

  • Cash Market Flows (2nd Sept):

    • DII inflows: +β‚Ή4,345 Cr

    • FII outflows: -β‚Ή1,430 Cr

  • F&O positioning:

    • FIIs net bought β‚Ή493 Cr in index futures.

    • However, FII long exposure is just 9% vs 91% shorts, showing caution.

  • Weekly Options Expiry (Today):

    • Heavy positions around 24,650 CE & PE with combined premium ~100.

    • Implied trading range: 24,550 – 24,750.

πŸ”‘ Key Levels to Watch (Nifty)

  • Resistance: 24,695 (20 DMA), 24,750 (option barrier)

  • Support: 24,550, then 24,400

πŸ“Œ Stocks in Focus

  • Hero MotoCorp:

    • August sales beat estimates.

    • Management upbeat on festive season demand β†’ stock could see positive traction.

  • Sugar Stocks:

    • Govt has removed all curbs on ethanol production from sugarcane juice/syrup.

    • Positive for integrated sugar players; expect a sector-wide re-rating.


πŸ‘‰ Overall View:
Market likely to see a range-bound expiry between 24,550 – 24,750 unless fresh triggers emerge. Watch for a decisive close above 24,695 (20 DMA) to confirm strength. Stock-specific action expected in Hero Moto and Sugar pack.