Market Analysis : August 4, 2025.

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📉 FIIs Activity
Foreign Institutional Investors have sold over ₹3,300 crore in the cash segment. In the F&O segment, they have significantly increased their net short positions in index futures. This indicates a lack of confidence in Indian equities in the near term. Two key reasons are driving this sentiment:

1) Weak corporate earnings

2) No progress on the US-India trade deal

🌍 Global Market Update
On Friday, former US President Donald Trump announced a fresh set of tariffs on multiple countries. This triggered a correction in US equities. The S&P 500’s Volatility Index (VIX) has risen above 20, signaling likely near-term volatility in global markets.

🔍 Sentiment Check
Despite the corrections, there’s no sign of panic yet. Global sentiment remains broadly neutral.

🧾 Domestic Policy Update – GST Rationalization
News reports suggest that the Group of Ministers (GoM) may soon submit their recommendations on GST rate rationalization. If the GST Council approves the proposals, it could be a significant structural boost to the economy and equity markets.

⚠️ Our View
Adopt a cautious approach. Avoid aggressive trading. Focus on fundamentally strong stocks with strict stop-losses in place.